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market-sizing · openai — Claude skill: estimate market size

Sizes a market, segment or opportunity with stated assumptions and uncertainty. Covers TAM/SAM/SOM and scenario comparisons.

Install into Codex · Skills CLI (Vercel) All methods and platforms ↓
npx skills add openai/plugins --skill market-sizing -a codex
Open on GitHub

What market-sizing does

The skill walks from framing to sensitivity testing. It starts by drawing the boundary: what is being sized, where and when it applies, who counts as part of the market, and which unit measures it — spend, revenue, volume or population. Then it picks an approach: top-down from aggregate data, bottom-up from observable units, or value-based from the value created.

Next it gathers sources for the inputs that matter most. Sourced facts, inferred estimates and judgement calls stay separate, and every major input carries a visible path: structured data, company docs, a public source or a proxy assumption. Derived values trace back to formulas or code, so the model can be recalculated. $jupyter-notebooks handles calculations, $Spreadsheets builds a workbook, $visualize-data draws the chart.

When a required source of truth is missing, the skill stops that path instead of swapping in a weaker substitute. A missing input that would shift the answer gets a question; otherwise the skill states a reasonable assumption and moves on. Thin inputs come back as ranges, not a single number.

What it helps with

  • size TAM, SAM and SOM for a new product
  • compare the scale of two candidate markets
  • build an estimate from warehouse data plus public benchmarks
  • find which assumptions move the estimate most
  • keep facts and guesses apart in a market model

Example prompts for the agent

  • Size TAM and SAM for our segment and list the assumptions separately
  • Build a bottom-up market model from warehouse data and test its sensitivity
  • Compare two candidate directions and tell me what is missing for confidence

How to install market-sizing

1Skills CLI (Vercel)

npx skills add openai/plugins --skill market-sizing -a codex

2Manually: put the files in place

.agents/skills/market-sizing/SKILL.md

For all projects use ~/.agents/skills/

Step by step, with commands for each platform: Codex skills: how to install, where they live, how to call them

Questions about market-sizing

How do I install market-sizing in Claude?

Run npx skills add openai/plugins --skill market-sizing, then npx skills add openai/plugins --skill market-sizing -a codex. The skill lands at .agents/skills/market-sizing/SKILL.md.

What does market-sizing do?

It produces a market, segment or opportunity estimate with transparent assumptions. Use it for TAM/SAM/SOM, sizing scenarios or comparing scale.

Which skills does it pull in?

$jupyter-notebooks for calculations, $Spreadsheets for workbooks, $visualize-data for charts and $gather-business-context for context.

Similar skills

All skills for Data and databases →

market-sizing by other authors comes first.

From the same set420

The whole set →

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