The National Association of Games and Lotteries (ANJL) projects that a government ban on online casinos for licensed operators would push the illegal market share from 41% to 82%. The estimate is based on monitoring conducted between September 11 and 18, during which ANJL's technical team identified 6,409 unauthorised betting domains fully accessible to Brazilian users.
Between June and August, an average of 13.7 unlicensed sites launched daily without Finance Ministry approval. ANJL calculates the ban would cost the treasury R$3.6–7.4 billion ($700 million to $1.44 billion) in annual tax revenue. Licensed platforms currently hold over 25 million registered players, who would migrate to untaxed sites if restrictions are imposed.
"Brazil loses on all fronts," said ANJL president Plínio Lemos Jorge. "Millions of people will not stop playing. They will simply move to sites that collect no tax. The most vulnerable groups the federal government wants to protect will be even less protected. These platforms offer no safeguards for financial or mental health — no blocks for social benefit recipients, no self-exclusion tools."
Most illegal sites operate outside Brazil. ANJL's analysis found 55.8% use content distribution networks that mask the original host, and 98.3% of domains do not end in .br.
