# scenario-sensitivity-generator

Generates sensitivity matrices and breakpoint thresholds from public equity models. Helps evaluate thesis changes and downside risks.

- skill · `type=skill` · Codex, ChatGPT · ★ 7604
- Author: OpenAI · official OpenAI repository
- License: LicenseRef-Proprietary · policy=link-only · description only; the file stays with the author
- Source: https://github.com/openai/plugins/tree/HEAD/plugins/public-equity-investing/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md
- Updated: 2026-10-08
- HTML: https://affpapa.org/en/nevibecode/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator

## What it does

The skill converts an existing equity thesis, valuation projection, or corporate event into sensitivity grids and scenario distributions. It highlights what market prices already reflect and tracks how single KPI revisions alter target outcomes. By default, it generates a standalone HTML scenario document.

Calculations rely on a deterministic execution helper. When specific figures are missing, the generator leaves explicit input requirements instead of inventing numbers. It focuses directly on buy-side decision thresholds, pinpointing which factor breaks first under pressure.

Running this workflow without an established financial model will fail because it cannot build initial statements or DCF valuations. Users must generate the underlying numbers in upstream modeling tools first.

## Install

### Codex (native platform)

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add openai/plugins --skill scenario-sensitivity-generator -a codex
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.agents/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md` — For all projects use ~/.agents/skills/

### Claude Code

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add openai/plugins --skill scenario-sensitivity-generator -a claude-code
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `~/.claude/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md` — Copy the whole skill folder; for one project use .claude/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/

### Cursor

**Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.cursor/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md` — Cursor also reads .agents/skills/ and .claude/skills/

### GitHub Copilot

1. **GitHub CLI**
```bash
gh skill install openai/plugins scenario-sensitivity-generator
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.github/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md`

### Gemini CLI

**Platform CLI**
```bash
gemini skills install https://github.com/openai/plugins --path plugins/public-equity-investing/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator
```

### Windsurf (Devin Desktop)

**Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.devin/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md` — The legacy .windsurf/skills/ path still works

### Claude.ai

**Claude.ai**
- Zip the folder and upload it in Settings → Capabilities → Skills

Where a file is given instead of a command, copy the files from the source to that path: https://github.com/openai/plugins/tree/HEAD/plugins/public-equity-investing/skills/scenario-sensitivity-generator/SKILL.md

## When to use it
- evaluate target price sensitivity across operating margin shifts
- calculate market-implied deal failure probabilities for corporate events
- pinpoint the initial KPI breakpoint that breaks an equity thesis
- define explicit price boundaries for trimming or exiting an asset

## Example prompts
- Build a sensitivity matrix for price targets against discount rate changes using our model.
- Estimate deal break probability and downside exposure based on current market pricing.
- Generate an HTML report detailing margin breakpoints ahead of next week's earnings release.

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From the same set: [openai/plugins](https://affpapa.org/en/nevibecode/by/openai/plugins.md) — 596 cards

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