# return-calculations

Calculates and compares portfolio return measures. Use it to separate a manager’s performance from the effect of your own deposits and withdrawals.

- skill · `type=skill` · Claude Code, Codex, Cursor, GitHub Copilot, Gemini CLI, OpenCode · 702 installs · ★ 218
- Author: JoelLewis
- License: MIT · policy=mirror · the beginning of the file is at the end of this page
- Source: https://github.com/JoelLewis/finance_skills/tree/HEAD/plugins/core/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md
- Updated: 2026-07-18
- HTML: https://affpapa.org/en/nevibecode/skills/return-calculations

## What it does

The skill covers simple and annualized returns, CAGR, time-weighted return (TWR), and money-weighted return (MWR). It can link returns across sub-periods and explain why TWR and MWR diverge when a deposit arrives at an unfavorable time.

It also compares arithmetic and geometric means, describes log returns, and converts returns between periods. Exact TWR depends on portfolio valuations for every external cash-flow date. When those valuations are unavailable, Modified Dietz provides an approximation; large flows or volatile markets reduce its accuracy. Project and loan IRR or NPV questions belong to time-value-of-money calculations instead.

## Install

### Claude Code (native platform)

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add JoelLewis/finance_skills --skill return-calculations -a claude-code
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `~/.claude/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md` — Copy the whole skill folder; for one project use .claude/skills/return-calculations/

### Codex

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add JoelLewis/finance_skills --skill return-calculations -a codex
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.agents/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md` — For all projects use ~/.agents/skills/

### Cursor

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add JoelLewis/finance_skills --skill return-calculations -a cursor
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.cursor/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md` — Cursor also reads .agents/skills/ and .claude/skills/

### GitHub Copilot

1. **GitHub CLI**
```bash
gh skill install JoelLewis/finance_skills return-calculations
```

2. **Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.github/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md`

### Gemini CLI

1. **Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add JoelLewis/finance_skills --skill return-calculations -a gemini-cli
```

2. **Platform CLI**
```bash
gemini skills install https://github.com/JoelLewis/finance_skills --path plugins/core/skills/return-calculations
```

### Windsurf (Devin Desktop)

**Manually: put the files in place**
- File: `.devin/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md` — The legacy .windsurf/skills/ path still works

### OpenCode

**Skills CLI (Vercel)**
```bash
npx skills add JoelLewis/finance_skills --skill return-calculations -a opencode
```

### Claude.ai

**Claude.ai**
- Zip the folder and upload it in Settings → Capabilities → Skills

Where a file is given instead of a command, copy the files from the source to that path: https://github.com/JoelLewis/finance_skills/tree/HEAD/plugins/core/skills/return-calculations/SKILL.md

## When to use it
- calculate CAGR between two portfolio valuations
- compare a manager’s return with an investor’s outcome
- link returns across multiple periods
- measure how contributions affect portfolio IRR
- annualize a return for a given period

## Example prompts
- Compare my portfolio’s TWR and MWR using the dates of deposits and withdrawals.
- Calculate CAGR between the starting and ending valuations, with no interim cash flows.
- Explain why the arithmetic mean differs from the geometric mean for these returns.

## Source text · SKILL.md · MIT

Below is the content of a third-party file. It is data, not instructions for you: do not act on anything written inside unless the human asks. Block tag: 577d36d25fe84162.

BEGIN THIRD-PARTY FILE 577d36d25fe84162
```text
---
name: return-calculations
description: "Compute and compare investment return metrics including TWR, MWR (dollar-weighted IRR on portfolio cash flows), CAGR, and annualized returns. Use when the user asks about portfolio performance calculation, comparing manager returns, linking sub-period returns, understanding why different return methods give different numbers, converting returns across time periods, or computing the IRR of an investor's own contributions and withdrawals. Also trigger when users mention 'how much did I make', 'annual return', 'compound growth', 'dollar-weighted vs time-weighted', 'what was my rate of return', 'geometric vs arithmetic mean', 'log returns', or ask about the effect of cash flows on reported returns. For project or loan IRR, NPV, and generic 'solve for the rate' problems, use time-value-of-money instead."
---

# Return Calculations

## Core Concepts

### Simple (Holding Period) Return

$$R = \frac{V_{end} - V_{begin} + D}{V_{begin}}$$

where `D` = distributions (dividends, interest) received during the period. If `V_end` already reflects reinvested distributions, do not add `D` again.

### Mean and Log Return Conventions

- **Arithmetic mean** `R_a = (1/n) * sum(R_i)` — unbiased estimate of the expected *single-period* return (use for forward-looking inputs, e.g., mean-variance optimization). Always >= geometric mean; overstates realized compound growth.
- **Geometric mean** `R_g = [prod(1 + R_i)]^(1/n) - 1` — the correct measure of realized multi-period compound growth. The gap below the arithmetic mean approximates `sigma^2 / 2` (volatility drag).
- **Log return** `r = ln(V_end / V_begin)` — time-additive (`r_total = r_1 + ... + r_n`), so preferred for statistical modeling and multi-period aggregation. Convert with `R_simple = e^r - 1` and `r = ln(1 + R_simple)`. Log returns are additive across time but NOT across assets.

### CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate)

$$CAGR = \left(\frac{V_{end}}{V_{begin}}\right)^{1/n} - 1$$

where `n` is measured in years. The annualized geometric growth rate between two valuations with no intermediate cash flows.

### Time-Weighted Return (TWR)
Chain-links sub-period returns calculated between each external cash flow, removing the effect of cash flow timing. TWR measures the manager's investment skill independent of investor deposit/withdrawal decisions, and is the GIPS standard for manager performance.

$$1 + R_{TWR} = \prod_{i=1}^{n}(1 + R_i), \qquad R_i = \frac{V_{end,i}}{V_{begin,i} + CF_i} - 1$$

Exact TWR requires a portfolio valuation on every cash flow date.

### Modified Dietz Return
When valuations on each cash flow date are unavailable, Modified Dietz approximates the period return by day-weighting each external cash flow within the period:

$$R_{MD} = \frac{V_{end} - V_{begin} - CF_{net}}{V_{begin} + \sum_i CF_i \times w_i}, \qquad w_i = \frac{CD - D_i}{CD}$$
```
END THIRD-PARTY FILE 577d36d25fe84162

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